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Wind energy, as a kind of environmentally friendly renewable energy, has attracted a lot of attention in recent decades. However, the security and stability of the power system is potentially affected by large-scale wind power grid due to the randomness and intermittence of wind speed. Therefore, accurate wind speed prediction is conductive to power system operation. A hybrid wind speed prediction model based on Improved Complete Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition with Adaptive Noise (ICEEMDAN), Multiscale Fuzzy Entropy (MFE), Long short-term memory (LSTM) and INFORMER is proposed in this paper. Firstly, the wind speed data are decomposed into multiple intrinsic mode functions (IMFs) by ICEEMDAN. Then, the MFE values of each mode are calculated, and the modes with similar MFE values are aggregated to obtain new subsequences. Finally, each subsequence is predicted by informer and LSTM, each sequence selects the one with better performance than the two predictors, and the prediction results of each subsequence are superimposed to obtain the final prediction results. The proposed hybrid model is also compared with other seven related models based on four evaluation metrics under different prediction periods to verify its validity and applicability. The experimental results indicate that the proposed hybrid model based on ICEEMDAN, MFE, LSTM and INFORMER exhibits higher accuracy and greater applicability.
Assuntos
Energia Renovável , Vento , Humanos , Entropia , Benchmarking , Doença do Sistema de Condução CardíacoRESUMO
【Objective】 To investigate the situation of carbapenem-resistant Enterobacteriaceae(CRE) colonization in patients undergoing haploidentical hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (haplo-HSCT). 【Methods】 A total of 241 consecutive patients who underwent haplo-HSCT in the First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University from June 1, 2021 to June 1, 2022 were enrolled. Anal swab screening was performed within 48 hours of admission and blood cultures were taken when the patient developed fever. Univariate and multivariate analysis were used to analyze the colonization rate, distribution, risk factors and the correlation between CRE colonization and post-transplant bloodstream infection(BSI). 【Results】 Among 241 patients with haplo-HSCT, there were 90 cases in CRE colonization positive group, with a colonization rate of 37.3% (90/241). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that sex (OR 2.42, 95% CI 1.38-4.22, P<0.05) and history of infection within 30 days before transplantation (OR 3.37, 95% CI 1.59-7.17, P<0.05) may be independent risk factors for CRE intestinal colonization. Of the 95 CRE strains, the top five species were carbapenem-resistant Klebsiella pneumoniae (38/95, 40.0%), carbapenem-resistant Escherichia coli (29/95, 30.5%), carbapenem-resistant Enterobacter cloacae (13/95, 13.6%), carbapenem-resistant Klebsiella acidophilus (6/95, 6.3%) and carbapenem-resistant Proteus mirabilis (3/95, 3.1%). The incidence of post-transplant BSI was 12.0% (29/241) in the CRE-colonized group and 3.3% (8/241) in the non-colonized group. In the colonization group, 100% of the pathogens of BSI were identical with those of CRE colonization. 【Conclusion】 Bacterial culture of anal swab during haplo-HSCT is helpful for detection of CRE colonization in intestinal tract, which provides some clinical basis for active monitoring of key flora, prevention and control of infection.
RESUMO
【Objective】 To investigate the correlation between early immune reconstitution and clinical outcomes in patients with acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) underwent allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (allo-HSCT). 【Methods】 The basic information and treatment data of 99 patients with ALL undering allo-HSCT from December 2018 to February 2022 were collected. The proportions of CD3+ T, CD3+CD4+ T, CD3+CD8+ T and CD3-CD16+CD56+ NK cells were detected before and 30, 60 and 90 days after transplantation using flow cytometry. The correlation between early cellular immune reconstitution and neutrophil engraftment, platelet engraftment, infection, and acute and chronic graft-versus-host disease (GVHD) was analyzed. 【Results】 Among 99 ALL patients, the median time of neutrophil engraftment was day +11 (range, 8-28), and the median time of platelet engraftment was day +14 (range, 10-120). The cumulative incidence of blood stream infection (BSI) was 11.10% and the cumulative incidence of CMV within 100 days of transplantation was 40.40%. The cumulative incidence of EBV within 100 days was 7.10%. The cumulative incidence of acute graft-versus-host disease (aGVHD) was 22.30%. The cumulative incidence of chronic graft-versus-host disease (cGVHD) within 1 year of transplantation was 16.20%. 1 -year cumulative relapse rate was 13.84%. The 1 -year cumulative disease-free survival (DFS) for all patients was 80.60% and the 1-year overall survival (OS) was 90.30%. The CD4+/CD8+ ratio was positively associated with the development of aGVHD at 30 days post-transplant (OR 1.21, 95CI 1.01-1.45, P<0.05). The proportion of CD16+ CD56+ NK cell were higher in the group without BSI than that in the BSI group before and 30 days after transplantation (P < 0.05). The proportion of CD4+ T-cell were lower in the CMV infection group than that in the group without CMV infection at 60 and 90 days post-transplant(P<0.05). The higher level of CD4+ T-cells at 60 days post-transplant was a protective factor for CMV infection within 100 days (HR 0.91, 95CI 0.84-0.99, P<0.05). 【Conclusion】 Early immune reconstitution after allo-HSCT in patients with ALL is associated with aGVHD, CMV and BSI.
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Objective To investigate the characteristics of gut microbiota in patients with schizophrenia. Methods The composition of the fecal microbiota in 16 schizophrenia patients and 20 healthy controls was analyzed by 16S rRNA sequencing. Results At the phylum level, TM7 was increased in the patients (P<0.05). At the class level, the abundance of Peptostreptococcaceae, Lactobacillaceae and Actinomycetaceae in the patients increased (P<0.05), whereas the abundance of Tissierellaceae decreased relative to health controls (P<0.05). At the genus level, Actinomyces, Scardovia, Atopobium, Moryella, G07 and Lactobacillus were increased in the patients relative to healthy controls (P<0.05). Prediction of functional properties of bacterial flora showed that the metabolic pathways of fatty acids and pyruvate were different between the patients and healthy controls (P<0.05). Conclusion The present study reveals an alteration in the characteristics of gut microbiota in schizophrenia patients which may be an auxiliary diagnosis marker for clinical diagnosis of schizophrenia.
